Last Updated: September 2026
Transparency, accuracy, and honest communication are the foundation of everything we publish. This page sets out exactly how we hold ourselves to that standard.
We archive every prediction with a timestamp and never delete or hide results, regardless of outcome. All predictions are publicly verifiable, and we update results promptly after full time. Our track record is authentic — no cherry-picking, no selective reporting.
We never claim "guaranteed wins" or "risk-free betting." Every prediction carries an honest confidence rating grounded in historical performance, and we're upfront about the inherent risk in sports betting.
Every prediction is backed by statistical analysis and reviewed by an analyst. Our methodology is documented on this page and on our how it works page, and it's continuously refined based on actual results.
We actively promote sensible bankroll management and recognising problem gambling signs. We never encourage chasing losses or betting beyond what someone can afford. See our responsible betting page for the full guidance.
Our predictions are never influenced by bookmakers or advertisers. We currently have no paid bookmaker partnerships or affiliate arrangements — if that ever changes, it will be clearly disclosed on this page.
We gather data from official league statistics, licensed sports data providers, team news, and historical head-to-head records.
Our model weighs over 50 variables — form trends, home/away splits, goals patterns, expected goals — to generate initial probability estimates.
An analyst adds context the model can't see — late team news, tactical matchups, managerial pressure, squad rotation risk.
We compare our probability assessment against available odds to check whether a pick is genuinely worth publishing at that price.
A final check verifies the confidence rating matches historical performance for similar picks before anything goes live.
Every prediction carries a confidence rating grounded in historical win rates for similar picks. There is no separate paid tier — every rating below applies to every prediction on the free site.
| Range | What it means |
|---|---|
| 85–100% | Our highest-rated picks — exceptional statistical backing, minimal conflicting signals. |
| 75–84% | Strong reasoning and favourable value, with slightly more uncertainty. |
| 65–74% | Good supporting data but more competing evidence — reasonable for smaller stakes. |
| 50–64% | Speculative value, closer to a coin flip with a slight lean. |
These figures reflect historical performance under similar conditions and are not guarantees of future results — sports betting always involves risk.
Every prediction is timestamped and archived permanently — we never delete a losing pick or quietly modify a historical record. Results are updated promptly after full time, and our complete track record is available on our statistics page at any time. We also clearly flag when a pick carries higher-than-usual risk or when the underlying data is limited, rather than overselling a marginal prediction.
When we identify a factual or analytical error, we correct it as soon as it's found and note the correction rather than silently editing the original. When significant late-breaking news affects a published prediction — a major injury, a lineup change — we update it via the site and our Telegram channel, and the original stays visible with an update note rather than being quietly replaced.
Since this site doesn't require an account or accept payment, we hold very little personal data — mainly what you choose to share if you contact us directly. See our full privacy policy for the complete detail, and our cookie policy for how we use cookies.
We welcome feedback about our methodology or editorial practices. Reach us at support@accuratetip.com or via our contact page.
This editorial policy was last updated September 2026. We review it periodically to reflect our current practices.